Ok, I’m going to try and make this quick (at least in relation to my usual awards columns), but before I get to predictions & preferences I’d like to point out a few big themes for this year that will have impact across the board. The voting process has been updated, moving to an online system and away from forcing a small judging panel to watch all the submitted episodes prior to voting. I don’t 100% understand the new system, but by all accounts it will likely allow a much larger group to impact the final voting, and it will certainly diminish the usual power of a very strong submission episode from an unknown actor/show. This could (and probably will) lead to more populist picks, but I think this really gives the number of nominations more predictive power for the eventual winners. Across the board support mattered less when episodes could have a big impact on a small group, but now this will likely end up more like the Oscars, where a show with support from different branches sees more wins. This also gives me another excuse when my predictions are terribly wrong! The biggest change in the drama categories is that Breaking Bad concluded and had a final victory lap last year. That leaves a lot of room for new winners in all categories as that show dominated for most of the last 2 years. The beneficiaries will most likely be one of the perpetual bridesmaids from these years, no longer blocked from winning by a behemoth like that. In comedy it’s the same thing that I’ve been hoping for the past few years – Modern Family fatigue finally hits the series category. There are just so many great, groundbreaking comedies on TV currently (that actually get nominated!) and they have all lost out to this milquetoast series over & over again. I’m hoping the reign is finally over, but a bit worried about the impact of this new voting system. The other noteworthy change is the split of the variety series category into sketch & talk. Saturday Night Live can now lose to something other than The Daily Show or The Colbert Report. Despite that weak attempt at comedy there are a couple brilliant sketch comedies that have finally broken through due to this changes, and one fo them will actually win this year. It seems more appropriate for these to compete in a separate category and highlights the breadth of quality programming currently on the air. With that – on to the should, could & will win game!
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