Another year, and another awards season full of what amounts to the one percent patting themselves on the back. As I always do, I must caveat these with the fact that none of this matters, except for providing opportunities to discuss the better films of each year with a larger audience. That goes doubly for the Golden Globes since they often make some surprising decisions that reflect an infatuation for movie stars and shiny, new objects. But they have been getting better in the past few years. Ok, now I feel like I have defended myself enough to jump into predicting, and sharing my own thoughts.
I don’t expect much of this to be correct, as I typically let my own preferences influence my predictions instead of being able to separate myself and logically guess who will win what. Enjoy the show! Best picture - Drama Nominees: Hacksaw Ridge Hell or High Water Lion Manchester by the Sea Moonlight Will win: Manchester by the Sea Should win: Moonlight While every film in this category is good, there are two I would consider great. Manchester by the Sea is a crushing film filled with great performances and emotional heartbreak. Exploring these themes makes the file extremely effective, but that’s also what makes it little fun, even if it’s unquestionably one of the best films of the year. While Manchester is a film that looks like a typical awards film, Moonlight is surprisingly staying at the top of every conversation despite following a gay black man as he grows up. The triptych structure allows us to explore a large swath of Chiron/Black/Little’s life, focusing on how our outward identity can evolve, while an emotional life remains hidden & neglected. Two great films, but Moonlight hit me a little harder and provided a little more hope. While I respect and love how Manchester didn’t take the easy route, I still think Moonlight edges it out overall. Best picture – Musical or Comedy Nominees: 20th Century Women Deadpool Florence Foster Jenkins La La Land Sing Street Will win: La La Land Should Win: La La Land If there’s one award that La La Land was never going to lose, here it is. As a true musical set in LA, this is tailor made for the awards circuit and is not facing the tough competition it will in future ceremonies. By being in the comedy/musical category it can not lose the top award, and may even come close to a sweep in all categories. Oh, and by the way the film is incredible, so the Golden Globes won’t let themselves miss jumping on the Damien Chazelle bandwagon early. It’s very nice to see another true musical, Sing Street, and a genuine comedy, Deadpool, nominated (I have not had a chance to see 20th Century Women yet, Florence is fine...). They are both enjoyable, but not the stunning achievement La La Land is.
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